Gemini & ChatGPT Predict Major Cardano Crash – Is ADA in Trouble?

Like the entire cryptocurrency market, which is experiencing severe price fluctuations after record-breaking trends in 2025, Cardano’s native token is also facing major pressure.

As we know, Bitcoin and other major altcoins experienced major price declines after the U.S. presidential elections in late 2024; among them, ADA took a major hit, dropping to $0.22. The last time ADA prices experienced a sharp decline was in June 2023.

Although ADA made a slow recovery in February, reaching $0.27, the token is experiencing a monthly decline of 34%. Some analysts asked ChatGPT and Gemini whether ADA would recover from this downward trend or continue for a longer time, and were waiting for a worst-case scenario.

This article will look into the answers provided by both AI chatbots, ChatGPT and Gemini.

What Answer Did ChatGPT Provide?

When ChatGPT was asked about ADA’s potential future, the chatbot suggested that the price decline towards the $0.22 range is “not just another routine dip.”

ChatGPT said that the fall represented “a structural breakdown of long-term support, confirming that sellers remain in firm control.” The prediction became real as ADA prices plunged below key support levels at $0.40, $0.30, and even $0.25.
The ADA price is expected to experience consecutive dips as “buy-the-dip demand has weakened lately”. Currently, everyone is looking at the support at $0.20, which has now become “the line in the sand”.

Many considered that if the fall continued, the ADA price would dip towards $0.15 – $0.16. ChatGPT outlined a more catastrophic scenario, where the price would plummet to $0.10 – $0.12.

ChatGPT concluded, “While this may sound shocking, large-cap altcoins have historically lost 80-90% from cycle highs during severe downturns. ADA is not immune to that pattern.”

What was Gemini’s Take?

Gemini’s observation is that ADA is unable to hold the $0.30 level, and its daily chart indicates a “falling knife.” According to the chatbot, the breakdown below the multi-year support was the “final nail in the coffin for many long-term holders.”

During the downward momentum, ADA was trading below its 200-day Moving Average (MA), which was around $0.45. Gemini envisions that ADA could even drop to $0.10 or lower if certain aspects take shape.

Gemini warned, “If Bitcoin capitulates to $55K in the coming weeks, ADA risks losing its status as a ‘major’ altcoin. A breakdown below $0.15 opens a liquidity vacuum all the way down to $0.09. While this sounds impossible, remember that “impossible” things happen regularly in crypto winters.”

What Does the Current ADA Technical Analysis Say?

The technical analysis suggests a fragile state for ADA. Currently, ADA is trading at approximately $0.2637, a dip of over 91% from its 2021 all-time high, when the price was at $3.10. The Fear & Greed Index is at 14 (Extreme Fear), and ADA is trading below 20-day, 40-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). It indicated a sustained bearish state.

The support level is near $0.24 – $0.25. If ADA can reclaim $0.339, breaking the 20-day EMA, it could shift from bearish to neutral.

Some analysts believe that there are potential catalysts that can drive up the ADA price. One is the CME Group’s launch of regulated ADA futures on February 9, 2026. Bloomberg also estimates that there is a 70% chance of a spot ADA ETF approval by the end of 2026, which could attract new and significant capital inflows.

Bottomline

ChatGPT and Gemini have predicted a bleak future for ADA tokens. There is a very low chance of revival as the ADA price plummets major support levels. Prices can experience a small surge if they break the immediate support and resistance levels.